Sunday, May 20, 2012

Day 15 Alberto

Who would guess in Mid May a tropical storm forms.  We delayed leaving today for Charleston due to this storm churning off the coast.  We are very protected here 20 miles from the coast.  Strong north winds are also blocked by the town.  Looks like we will leave on Monday morning.   The wives arrive on Tuesday evening so we used our time to catch up on our domestic chores, as we have been underway for 15 days.


Forecast for Alberto - rain showers from Alberto are likely to move onshore between Charleston and Wilmington Saturday night and Sunday, bringing 1 - 3 inches of rain to portions of the coast. The storm is too small to cause major flooding problems, particularly since the coast is under moderate to severe drought. Alberto's rains will not be plentiful enough to cause significant drought relief, except perhaps over a small region near the coast, where (and if) the storm makes landfall. Wind shear is expected to remain in the moderate range, 15 - 20 knots, through Monday, which is low enough to allow some slow development. Since the storm is very small, it is highly vulnerable to even a modest increase in wind shear or dry air, which could rapidly disrupt it. Steering currents are weak, and Alberto will wander off the coast of South Carolina through Sunday, before getting caught up by a trough of low pressure on Monday which should lift it out to the northeast. The moderate wind shear and dry air are likely to keep Alberto below hurricane strength. NHC is giving Alberto a 5 - 10% chance of reaching hurricane strength before dissipating on Thursday as it scoots northeast out to sea.

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